What is the best trading strategy for beginners?
The best first strategy is one you fully understand, trades rarely, and has an obvious benchmark — not the one with the best backtest. The 200-day moving average regime filter is the classic candidate: own the index ETF when price is above its 200-day average, hold cash when below. One number, a handful of trades a year, decades of research behind it, and every decision is explainable. Run it against buy-and-hold on the same page and you'll immediately learn the real lessons: trend filters lag at turns, whipsaws cost money, and drawdown reduction — not return enhancement — is what they actually buy you. Graduate to faster strategies after you've watched one slow one behave for a while.
Related backtests: 200-Day SMA Regime Filter →
Real results across 59 ETFs, 5.5 years of minute data.
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Backtests are hypothetical, computed by DeployQuant's engine on minute-resolution consolidated US market data (2021-01-04 to 2026-07-17, $10,000 starting capital, no margin, fees and slippage not modeled) and do not guarantee future results. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Live trading involves risk of loss.