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RINF trading strategies, backtested

ProShares Inflation Expectations ETF — tracks 30-year breakeven inflation expectations. Every DeployQuant template run on RINF over 5.5 years of minute data, same engine, same window, sorted by return.

Quick answer: the best-performing template on RINF (2021-01-04 → 2026-07-17) was RSI(2) snapback at 8.3% CAGR vs 6.6% for buy-and-hold. 2 of 12 templates beat holding; 6 cut the max drawdown.
StrategyCAGRmax DDSharpetradeswin ratefinal value
RSI(2) Dip Snapback 8.3% −10.7% 1.07163 66% $15,561
RSI(14) Mean Reversion 6.9% −9.7% 0.9216 88% $14,446
Weekly Entry + 7% Target 6.1% −13.4% 0.5615 47% $13,845
First-to-Last Day of Month 5.0% −14.9% 0.4867 55% $13,131
SMA-200 Trend + 15% Trailing Stop 3.8% −13.3% 0.390 $12,304
Golden Cross (SMA 50/200) 2.1% −13.3% 0.254 50% $11,245
Drawdown Dip Buyer + 8% Target 1.4% −2.8% 0.531 100% $10,780
3-Month Momentum Switch −0.1% −12.8% 0.0310 60% $9,916
EMA 12/26 Trend −0.3% −16.0% 0.0130 37% $9,810
SMA 10/50 Trend −2.3% −24.0% -0.2124 38% $8,791
20-Day Momentum + Trailing Stop −2.4% −17.1% -0.322 0% $8,764
200-Day SMA Regime Filter −2.6% −21.4% -0.2037 32% $8,645
Buy & hold RINF 6.6%−13.3% 0.58 $14,213
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Frequently asked questions

What was the best strategy for RINF?

Of the 12 templates tested on RINF over 2021-01-04–2026-07-17, the strongest by CAGR was RSI(2) snapback at 8.3% (max drawdown 10.7%), versus 6.6% for buy-and-hold. Best-in-hindsight is not a forecast — check drawdowns and trade counts before drawing conclusions.

Did any strategy beat buying and holding RINF?

2 of 12 templates beat RINF buy-and-hold (6.6% CAGR) on this window; 6 of 12 had a shallower maximum drawdown than holding (13.3%).

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Backtests are hypothetical, computed by DeployQuant's engine on minute-resolution consolidated US market data (2021-01-04 to 2026-07-17, $10,000 starting capital, no margin, fees and slippage not modeled) and do not guarantee future results. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Live trading involves risk of loss.