TQQQ trading strategies, backtested
ProShares UltraPro QQQ — 3x daily leveraged Nasdaq-100 — huge trends and brutal drawdowns. Every DeployQuant template run on TQQQ over 5.5 years of minute data, same engine, same window, sorted by return.
| Strategy | CAGR | max DD | Sharpe | trades | win rate | final value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSI(2) Dip Snapback | 39.2% | −43.3% | 0.96 | 158 | 69% | $62,331 |
| 200-Day SMA Regime Filter | 23.6% | −36.6% | 0.73 | 13 | 38% | $32,327 |
| SMA-200 Trend + 15% Trailing Stop | 22.1% | −37.5% | 0.70 | 28 | 46% | $30,160 |
| Weekly Entry + 7% Target | 21.3% | −54.2% | 0.66 | 217 | 49% | $29,059 |
| SMA 10/50 Trend | 19.1% | −53.2% | 0.64 | 18 | 50% | $26,346 |
| EMA 12/26 Trend | 17.6% | −50.0% | 0.60 | 22 | 41% | $24,573 |
| First-to-Last Day of Month | 16.7% | −82.5% | 0.58 | 67 | 58% | $23,487 |
| 3-Month Momentum Switch | 10.8% | −55.5% | 0.46 | 20 | 50% | $17,605 |
| Drawdown Dip Buyer + 8% Target | 8.8% | −79.5% | 0.45 | 9 | 100% | $15,930 |
| RSI(14) Mean Reversion | 7.9% | −66.5% | 0.40 | 15 | 73% | $15,221 |
| Golden Cross (SMA 50/200) | 4.1% | −54.9% | 0.31 | 3 | 67% | $12,511 |
| 20-Day Momentum + Trailing Stop | 3.1% | −41.0% | 0.26 | 51 | 35% | $11,870 |
| Buy & hold TQQQ | 22.3% | −80.8% | 0.65 | — | — | $30,451 |
Build it from blocks (or type it in English), backtest it on 5.5 years of minute data in seconds, tweak any parameter, then paper trade it on live data. No card, no broker needed to start.
Frequently asked questions
What was the best strategy for TQQQ?
Of the 12 templates tested on TQQQ over 2021-01-04–2026-07-17, the strongest by CAGR was RSI(2) snapback at 39.2% (max drawdown 43.3%), versus 22.3% for buy-and-hold. Best-in-hindsight is not a forecast — check drawdowns and trade counts before drawing conclusions.
Did any strategy beat buying and holding TQQQ?
2 of 12 templates beat TQQQ buy-and-hold (22.3% CAGR) on this window; 11 of 12 had a shallower maximum drawdown than holding (80.8%).
Other leveraged etfs
Backtests are hypothetical, computed by DeployQuant's engine on minute-resolution consolidated US market data (2021-01-04 to 2026-07-17, $10,000 starting capital, no margin, fees and slippage not modeled) and do not guarantee future results. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Live trading involves risk of loss.