Learn › Comparisons › dip buyer vs golden cross

Drawdown Dip Buyer + 8% Target vs Golden Cross (SMA 50/200)

Two rule sets, 59 ETFs, one engine and one window.

Head-to-head: golden cross won on 43 of 59 ETFs by CAGR. Median CAGR: dip buyer: 1.3% · golden cross: 2.0%. Median max drawdown: 26.2% vs 21.8%.
dip buyergolden cross
Median CAGR (59 ETFs)1.3%2.0%
Median max drawdown−26.2%−21.8%
ETFs won (by CAGR)1643
Styleassets that sell off hard and recover; it trades volatility without chasing strengthlong-horizon investors who want to hold trends but sidestep multi-year bear markets

Where the gap was biggest

ETFdip buyergolden crossgap
UVXY −48.7%−10.1% 38.6%
SQQQ −39.2%−7.4% 31.8%
FAS 24.1%−5.5% 29.6%
SOXL 16.4%45.9% 29.5%
REW −33.5%−6.7% 26.8%
TECS −45.3%−21.0% 24.3%
SOXS −46.2%−24.4% 21.7%
TMF −29.8%−8.4% 21.5%
QID −27.1%−6.0% 21.1%
SDS −19.9%−2.3% 17.5%
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Frequently asked questions

Which is better: dip buyer or golden cross?

On this 2021-01-04 to 2026-10-02 window, golden cross produced the higher CAGR on 43 of 59 ETFs. Median CAGR: dip buyer 1.3% vs golden cross 2.0%; median max drawdown: 26.2% vs 21.8%. Which is better depends on the asset and what you optimize for. The per-ETF table shows where each wins.

Dig deeper

Drawdown Dip Buyer + 8% Targetrules + all 59 ETF results Golden Cross (SMA 50/200)rules + all 59 ETF results

Backtests are hypothetical, computed by DeployQuant's engine on minute-resolution consolidated US market data (2021-01-04 to 2026-10-02, $10,000 starting capital, no margin, no fees or slippage in the headline run; buy-and-hold puts 98% of the account in at the first open, as the templates do) and do not guarantee future results. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Live trading involves risk of loss.