TECS trading strategies, backtested
Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3X Shares — -3x daily technology sector. Every DeployQuant template run on TECS over 5.5 years of minute data, same engine, same window, sorted by return.
| Strategy | CAGR | max DD | Sharpe | trades | win rate | final value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA-200 Trend + 15% Trailing Stop | −8.9% | −46.3% | -0.13 | 29 | 28% | $5,980 |
| 200-Day SMA Regime Filter | −11.4% | −54.0% | -0.16 | 17 | 18% | $5,105 |
| 20-Day Momentum + Trailing Stop | −15.1% | −65.3% | -0.29 | 80 | 28% | $4,038 |
| Drawdown Dip Buyer + 8% Target | −16.6% | −68.2% | -0.54 | 2 | 100% | $3,670 |
| 3-Month Momentum Switch | −17.1% | −69.3% | -0.28 | 17 | 18% | $3,544 |
| Golden Cross (SMA 50/200) | −17.2% | −71.2% | -0.50 | 3 | 0% | $3,519 |
| RSI(2) Dip Snapback | −23.0% | −88.7% | -0.43 | 159 | 51% | $2,360 |
| SMA 10/50 Trend | −23.7% | −81.4% | -0.43 | 20 | 25% | $2,241 |
| RSI(14) Mean Reversion | −24.0% | −85.0% | -0.37 | 17 | 53% | $2,195 |
| EMA 12/26 Trend | −24.2% | −79.2% | -0.41 | 20 | 15% | $2,154 |
| Weekly Entry + 7% Target | −34.9% | −94.1% | -0.71 | 234 | 42% | $931 |
| First-to-Last Day of Month | −45.5% | −97.6% | -0.70 | 67 | 33% | $347 |
| Buy & hold TECS | −21.8% | −76.2% | -0.62 | — | — | $2,570 |
Build it from blocks (or type it in English), backtest it on 5.5 years of minute data in seconds, tweak any parameter, then paper trade it on live data. No card, no broker needed to start.
Frequently asked questions
What was the best strategy for TECS?
Of the 12 templates tested on TECS over 2021-01-04–2026-07-17, the strongest by CAGR was trend + trailing stop at −8.9% (max drawdown 46.3%), versus −21.8% for buy-and-hold. Best-in-hindsight is not a forecast — check drawdowns and trade counts before drawing conclusions.
Did any strategy beat buying and holding TECS?
6 of 12 templates beat TECS buy-and-hold (−21.8% CAGR) on this window; 6 of 12 had a shallower maximum drawdown than holding (76.2%).
Other inverse etfs
Backtests are hypothetical, computed by DeployQuant's engine on minute-resolution consolidated US market data (2021-01-04 to 2026-07-17, $10,000 starting capital, no margin, fees and slippage not modeled) and do not guarantee future results. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Live trading involves risk of loss.