QID trading strategies, backtested
ProShares UltraShort QQQ — -2x daily Nasdaq-100. Every DeployQuant template run on QID over 5.5 years of minute data, same engine, same window, sorted by return.
| Strategy | CAGR | max DD | Sharpe | trades | win rate | final value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSI(2) Dip Snapback | −1.4% | −59.3% | 0.08 | 165 | 55% | $9,228 |
| 20-Day Momentum + Trailing Stop | −3.6% | −45.6% | -0.02 | 32 | 38% | $8,178 |
| Golden Cross (SMA 50/200) | −6.2% | −48.3% | -0.12 | 2 | 0% | $7,004 |
| SMA-200 Trend + 15% Trailing Stop | −7.9% | −46.0% | -0.13 | 18 | 28% | $6,336 |
| 200-Day SMA Regime Filter | −10.8% | −55.1% | -0.25 | 17 | 18% | $5,311 |
| EMA 12/26 Trend | −12.1% | −57.3% | -0.24 | 22 | 23% | $4,889 |
| SMA 10/50 Trend | −12.7% | −61.2% | -0.27 | 18 | 22% | $4,730 |
| RSI(14) Mean Reversion | −14.5% | −68.1% | -0.38 | 15 | 47% | $4,207 |
| 3-Month Momentum Switch | −14.7% | −65.4% | -0.38 | 20 | 20% | $4,147 |
| Drawdown Dip Buyer + 8% Target | −26.6% | −86.6% | -0.53 | 3 | 100% | $1,810 |
| Weekly Entry + 7% Target | −26.6% | −86.6% | -0.65 | 215 | 27% | $1,808 |
| First-to-Last Day of Month | −27.0% | −87.2% | -0.53 | 67 | 34% | $1,749 |
| Buy & hold QID | −28.9% | −87.2% | -0.61 | — | — | $1,512 |
Build it from blocks (or type it in English), backtest it on 5.5 years of minute data in seconds, tweak any parameter, then paper trade it on live data. No card, no broker needed to start.
Frequently asked questions
What was the best strategy for QID?
Of the 12 templates tested on QID over 2021-01-04–2026-07-17, the strongest by CAGR was RSI(2) snapback at −1.4% (max drawdown 59.3%), versus −28.9% for buy-and-hold. Best-in-hindsight is not a forecast — check drawdowns and trade counts before drawing conclusions.
Did any strategy beat buying and holding QID?
12 of 12 templates beat QID buy-and-hold (−28.9% CAGR) on this window; 11 of 12 had a shallower maximum drawdown than holding (87.2%).
Other inverse etfs
Backtests are hypothetical, computed by DeployQuant's engine on minute-resolution consolidated US market data (2021-01-04 to 2026-07-17, $10,000 starting capital, no margin, fees and slippage not modeled) and do not guarantee future results. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Live trading involves risk of loss.