Learn › Comparisons › dip buyer vs 3-month momentum

Drawdown Dip Buyer + 8% Target vs 3-Month Momentum Switch

Two rule sets, 59 ETFs, one engine and one window.

Head-to-head: 3-month momentum won on 31 of 59 ETFs by CAGR. Median CAGR: dip buyer: 1.3% · 3-month momentum: 0.0%. Median max drawdown: 26.2% vs 26.2%.
dip buyer3-month momentum
Median CAGR (59 ETFs)1.3%0.0%
Median max drawdown−26.2%−26.2%
ETFs won (by CAGR)2831
Styleassets that sell off hard and recover; it trades volatility without chasing strengthassets with long, persistent cycles, such as index, sector and managed-futures ETFs

Where the gap was biggest

ETFdip buyer3-month momentumgap
FAS 24.1%−2.5% 26.6%
TECS −45.3%−20.7% 24.6%
REW −33.5%−15.7% 17.8%
TECL 24.7%7.6% 17.1%
TMF −29.8%−13.2% 16.7%
SQQQ −39.2%−25.8% 13.4%
SOXX 27.5%14.3% 13.2%
ROM 19.9%8.4% 11.4%
QID −27.1%−17.2% 9.9%
IAU −0.8%8.5% 9.3%
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Frequently asked questions

Which is better: dip buyer or 3-month momentum?

On this 2021-01-04 to 2026-10-02 window, 3-month momentum produced the higher CAGR on 31 of 59 ETFs. Median CAGR: dip buyer 1.3% vs 3-month momentum 0.0%; median max drawdown: 26.2% vs 26.2%. Which is better depends on the asset and what you optimize for. The per-ETF table shows where each wins.

Dig deeper

Drawdown Dip Buyer + 8% Targetrules + all 59 ETF results 3-Month Momentum Switchrules + all 59 ETF results

Backtests are hypothetical, computed by DeployQuant's engine on minute-resolution consolidated US market data (2021-01-04 to 2026-10-02, $10,000 starting capital, no margin, no fees or slippage in the headline run; buy-and-hold puts 98% of the account in at the first open, as the templates do) and do not guarantee future results. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Live trading involves risk of loss.