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SOXX trading strategies, backtested

iShares Semiconductor ETF — the semiconductor industry, one of the market's highest-momentum sectors. Every DeployQuant template run on SOXX over 5.5 years of minute data, same engine, same window, sorted by return.

Quick answer: the best-performing template on SOXX (2021-01-04 → 2026-07-17) was weekly 7% target at 30.3% CAGR vs 29.6% for buy-and-hold. 1 of 12 templates beat holding; 12 cut the max drawdown.
StrategyCAGRmax DDSharpetradeswin ratefinal value
Weekly Entry + 7% Target 30.3% −22.8% 1.03168 39% $43,286
Golden Cross (SMA 50/200) 26.7% −24.7% 1.003 100% $36,950
Drawdown Dip Buyer + 8% Target 25.9% −39.3% 0.9019 100% $35,814
First-to-Last Day of Month 25.3% −44.4% 0.8267 61% $34,843
SMA-200 Trend + 15% Trailing Stop 19.1% −36.4% 0.7513 62% $26,354
EMA 12/26 Trend 17.5% −34.0% 0.7422 50% $24,409
200-Day SMA Regime Filter 17.4% −39.2% 0.7319 26% $24,297
RSI(2) Dip Snapback 17.3% −23.8% 0.79157 62% $24,170
3-Month Momentum Switch 15.4% −35.5% 0.6815 40% $22,092
20-Day Momentum + Trailing Stop 15.2% −30.2% 0.7218 61% $21,828
RSI(14) Mean Reversion 8.8% −35.0% 0.4812 83% $15,944
SMA 10/50 Trend 7.3% −40.3% 0.4017 53% $14,792
Buy & hold SOXX 29.6%−45.1% 0.89 $41,918
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Frequently asked questions

What was the best strategy for SOXX?

Of the 12 templates tested on SOXX over 2021-01-04–2026-07-17, the strongest by CAGR was weekly 7% target at 30.3% (max drawdown 22.8%), versus 29.6% for buy-and-hold. Best-in-hindsight is not a forecast — check drawdowns and trade counts before drawing conclusions.

Did any strategy beat buying and holding SOXX?

1 of 12 templates beat SOXX buy-and-hold (29.6% CAGR) on this window; 12 of 12 had a shallower maximum drawdown than holding (45.1%).

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Backtests are hypothetical, computed by DeployQuant's engine on minute-resolution consolidated US market data (2021-01-04 to 2026-07-17, $10,000 starting capital, no margin, fees and slippage not modeled) and do not guarantee future results. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Live trading involves risk of loss.