Learn › Comparisons › dip buyer vs EMA 12/26 trend

Drawdown Dip Buyer + 8% Target vs EMA 12/26 Trend

Two rule sets, 59 ETFs, one engine and one window.

Head-to-head: EMA 12/26 trend won on 41 of 59 ETFs by CAGR. Median CAGR: dip buyer: 1.3% · EMA 12/26 trend: 2.8%. Median max drawdown: 26.2% vs 22.9%.
dip buyerEMA 12/26 trend
Median CAGR (59 ETFs)1.3%2.8%
Median max drawdown−26.2%−22.9%
ETFs won (by CAGR)1841
Styleassets that sell off hard and recover; it trades volatility without chasing strengthtraders who like MACD logic but want it expressed as a simple, testable long/flat rule

Where the gap was biggest

ETFdip buyerEMA 12/26 trendgap
TMF −29.8%−13.9% 15.9%
TECS −45.3%−29.4% 15.9%
FAS 24.1%8.7% 15.4%
REW −33.5%−18.5% 15.0%
SQQQ −39.2%−24.3% 14.9%
QID −27.1%−13.6% 13.5%
IAU −0.8%12.5% 13.3%
SDS −19.9%−6.9% 13.0%
CLSE 3.4%14.0% 10.7%
SOXL 16.4%26.2% 9.8%
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Frequently asked questions

Which is better: dip buyer or EMA 12/26 trend?

On this 2021-01-04 to 2026-10-02 window, EMA 12/26 trend produced the higher CAGR on 41 of 59 ETFs. Median CAGR: dip buyer 1.3% vs EMA 12/26 trend 2.8%; median max drawdown: 26.2% vs 22.9%. Which is better depends on the asset and what you optimize for. The per-ETF table shows where each wins.

Dig deeper

Drawdown Dip Buyer + 8% Targetrules + all 59 ETF results EMA 12/26 Trendrules + all 59 ETF results

Backtests are hypothetical, computed by DeployQuant's engine on minute-resolution consolidated US market data (2021-01-04 to 2026-10-02, $10,000 starting capital, no margin, no fees or slippage in the headline run; buy-and-hold puts 98% of the account in at the first open, as the templates do) and do not guarantee future results. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Live trading involves risk of loss.