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RSI(2) Dip Snapback vs SMA-200 Trend + 15% Trailing Stop

Two rule sets, 59 ETFs, one engine and one window.

Head-to-head: RSI(2) snapback won on 41 of 59 ETFs by CAGR. Median CAGR: RSI(2) snapback: 4.7% · trend + trailing stop: 2.6%. Median max drawdown: 17.5% vs 31.1%.
RSI(2) snapbacktrend + trailing stop
Median CAGR (59 ETFs)4.7%2.6%
Median max drawdown−17.5%−31.1%
ETFs won (by CAGR)4118
Styleliquid index ETFs with strong long-term drift; turnover is high so per-trade edges are smalllong trends with moderate pullbacks; the 15% trail is wide enough to survive normal corrections

Where the gap was biggest

ETFRSI(2) snapbacktrend + trailing stopgap
FAS 18.7%−11.1% 29.7%
SOXS −29.9%−4.9% 25.0%
SOXL 39.2%17.8% 21.4%
TECL 30.2%14.4% 15.8%
TECS −26.6%−11.0% 15.6%
TQQQ 39.3%25.0% 14.3%
SSO 24.6%11.4% 13.1%
SPUU 24.1%11.0% 13.1%
XLY 8.2%−4.4% 12.6%
VIXM 0.1%−10.2% 10.3%
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Frequently asked questions

Which is better: RSI(2) snapback or trend + trailing stop?

On this 2021-01-04 to 2026-10-02 window, RSI(2) snapback produced the higher CAGR on 41 of 59 ETFs. Median CAGR: RSI(2) snapback 4.7% vs trend + trailing stop 2.6%; median max drawdown: 17.5% vs 31.1%. Which is better depends on the asset and what you optimize for. The per-ETF table shows where each wins.

Dig deeper

RSI(2) Dip Snapbackrules + all 59 ETF results SMA-200 Trend + 15% Trailing Stoprules + all 59 ETF results

Backtests are hypothetical, computed by DeployQuant's engine on minute-resolution consolidated US market data (2021-01-04 to 2026-10-02, $10,000 starting capital, no margin, no fees or slippage in the headline run; buy-and-hold puts 98% of the account in at the first open, as the templates do) and do not guarantee future results. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Live trading involves risk of loss.