Golden Cross (SMA 50/200) vs Weekly Entry + 7% Target
Two rule sets, 59 ETFs, one engine and window — a genuinely like-for-like comparison.
| golden cross | weekly 7% target | |
|---|---|---|
| Median CAGR (59 ETFs) | 2.4% | 6.1% |
| Median max drawdown | −21.1% | −27.6% |
| ETFs won (by CAGR) | 28 | 31 |
| Style | long-horizon investors who want to hold trends but sidestep multi-year bear markets | volatile assets that regularly swing 7% within a week — leveraged ETFs are the natural habitat |
Where the gap was biggest
| ETF | golden cross | weekly 7% target | gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| REW | −6.9% | −37.8% | 30.8% |
| TECL | 4.2% | 34.9% | 30.7% |
| FAS | −3.5% | 22.5% | 26.0% |
| UVXY | −10.2% | −34.9% | 24.7% |
| SOXS | −7.3% | −28.6% | 21.4% |
| SQQQ | −7.5% | −28.9% | 21.4% |
| QID | −6.2% | −26.6% | 20.4% |
| TECS | −17.2% | −34.9% | 17.7% |
| TQQQ | 4.1% | 21.3% | 17.1% |
| EEV | 0.9% | −14.8% | 15.7% |
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Frequently asked questions
Which is better: golden cross or weekly 7% target?
On this 2021-01-04–2026-07-17 window, weekly 7% target produced the higher CAGR on 31 of 59 ETFs. Median CAGR: golden cross 2.4% vs weekly 7% target 6.1%; median max drawdown: 21.1% vs 27.6%. "Better" depends on the asset and what you optimize — the per-ETF table shows where each wins.
Dig deeper
Backtests are hypothetical, computed by DeployQuant's engine on minute-resolution consolidated US market data (2021-01-04 to 2026-07-17, $10,000 starting capital, no margin, fees and slippage not modeled) and do not guarantee future results. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Live trading involves risk of loss.