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20-Day Momentum + Trailing Stop vs RSI(2) Dip Snapback

Two rule sets, 59 ETFs, one engine and one window.

Head-to-head: RSI(2) snapback won on 55 of 59 ETFs by CAGR. Median CAGR: momentum breakout: 0.0% · RSI(2) snapback: 4.7%. Median max drawdown: 20.1% vs 17.5%.
momentum breakoutRSI(2) snapback
Median CAGR (59 ETFs)0.0%4.7%
Median max drawdown−20.1%−17.5%
ETFs won (by CAGR)455
Stylehigh-momentum assets where trends extend, such as semiconductor and leveraged tech ETFsliquid index ETFs with strong long-term drift; turnover is high so per-trade edges are small

Where the gap was biggest

ETFmomentum breakoutRSI(2) snapbackgap
TQQQ 0.6%39.3% 38.7%
SOXL 19.1%39.2% 20.2%
TECL 10.2%30.2% 20.0%
SOXS −13.6%−29.9% 16.3%
VIXM −15.9%0.1% 16.0%
FAS 3.9%18.7% 14.8%
TBF −2.3%9.7% 12.0%
RINF −2.3%8.5% 10.8%
VXZ −17.3%−7.0% 10.3%
XLP −1.9%8.2% 10.1%
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Frequently asked questions

Which is better: momentum breakout or RSI(2) snapback?

On this 2021-01-04 to 2026-10-02 window, RSI(2) snapback produced the higher CAGR on 55 of 59 ETFs. Median CAGR: momentum breakout 0.0% vs RSI(2) snapback 4.7%; median max drawdown: 20.1% vs 17.5%. Which is better depends on the asset and what you optimize for. The per-ETF table shows where each wins.

Dig deeper

20-Day Momentum + Trailing Stoprules + all 59 ETF results RSI(2) Dip Snapbackrules + all 59 ETF results

Backtests are hypothetical, computed by DeployQuant's engine on minute-resolution consolidated US market data (2021-01-04 to 2026-10-02, $10,000 starting capital, no margin, no fees or slippage in the headline run; buy-and-hold puts 98% of the account in at the first open, as the templates do) and do not guarantee future results. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Live trading involves risk of loss.