DeployQuantEMA 12/26 Trend vs Weekly Entry + 7% Target
Two rule sets, 59 ETFs, one engine and one window.
| EMA 12/26 trend | weekly 7% target | |
|---|---|---|
| Median CAGR (59 ETFs) | 2.8% | 6.6% |
| Median max drawdown | −22.9% | −26.3% |
| ETFs won (by CAGR) | 19 | 40 |
| Style | traders who like MACD logic but want it expressed as a simple, testable long/flat rule | volatile assets that regularly swing 7% within a week, such as leveraged ETFs |
Where the gap was biggest
| ETF | EMA 12/26 trend | weekly 7% target | gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| REW | −18.5% | −39.1% | 20.7% |
| TECL | 19.8% | 35.5% | 15.7% |
| QLD | 10.8% | 25.6% | 14.8% |
| TQQQ | 15.3% | 29.4% | 14.2% |
| QID | −13.6% | −26.2% | 12.6% |
| SOXX | 18.0% | 30.5% | 12.6% |
| ROM | 17.9% | 30.3% | 12.4% |
| TECS | −29.4% | −41.6% | 12.2% |
| EEM | 0.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% |
| VOOG | 8.9% | 19.5% | 10.6% |
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Frequently asked questions
Which is better: EMA 12/26 trend or weekly 7% target?
On this 2021-01-04 to 2026-10-02 window, weekly 7% target produced the higher CAGR on 40 of 59 ETFs. Median CAGR: EMA 12/26 trend 2.8% vs weekly 7% target 6.6%; median max drawdown: 22.9% vs 26.3%. Which is better depends on the asset and what you optimize for. The per-ETF table shows where each wins.
Dig deeper
Backtests are hypothetical, computed by DeployQuant's engine on minute-resolution consolidated US market data (2021-01-04 to 2026-10-02, $10,000 starting capital, no margin, no fees or slippage in the headline run; buy-and-hold puts 98% of the account in at the first open, as the templates do) and do not guarantee future results. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Live trading involves risk of loss.