SMA 10/50 Trend vs Weekly Entry + 7% Target
Two rule sets, 59 ETFs, one engine and window — a genuinely like-for-like comparison.
| SMA 10/50 trend | weekly 7% target | |
|---|---|---|
| Median CAGR (59 ETFs) | 2.0% | 6.1% |
| Median max drawdown | −22.0% | −27.6% |
| ETFs won (by CAGR) | 23 | 36 |
| Style | trending assets where multi-week swings are worth catching — leveraged index ETFs are a common pairing | volatile assets that regularly swing 7% within a week — leveraged ETFs are the natural habitat |
Where the gap was biggest
| ETF | SMA 10/50 trend | weekly 7% target | gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| SOXX | 7.3% | 30.3% | 23.0% |
| REW | −18.1% | −37.8% | 19.7% |
| TECL | 17.4% | 34.9% | 17.5% |
| FAS | 5.3% | 22.5% | 17.2% |
| SOXL | 16.7% | 32.9% | 16.2% |
| EEM | −4.2% | 11.0% | 15.2% |
| QID | −12.7% | −26.6% | 13.9% |
| SSO | 9.1% | 21.5% | 12.4% |
| TECS | −23.7% | −34.9% | 11.2% |
| XLY | 1.3% | 12.5% | 11.2% |
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Frequently asked questions
Which is better: SMA 10/50 trend or weekly 7% target?
On this 2021-01-04–2026-07-17 window, weekly 7% target produced the higher CAGR on 36 of 59 ETFs. Median CAGR: SMA 10/50 trend 2.0% vs weekly 7% target 6.1%; median max drawdown: 22.0% vs 27.6%. "Better" depends on the asset and what you optimize — the per-ETF table shows where each wins.
Dig deeper
Backtests are hypothetical, computed by DeployQuant's engine on minute-resolution consolidated US market data (2021-01-04 to 2026-07-17, $10,000 starting capital, no margin, fees and slippage not modeled) and do not guarantee future results. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Live trading involves risk of loss.